Tuesday, August 17, 2021

Spikes Everywhere You Look

One of the key biological characteristics of the Covid-19 virus is the presence of spike proteins in their makeup. The spike proteins allow the virus to penetrate host cells and cause infection.

The current vaccines currently in use were developed by using spike proteins to enter your body in order for it to activate your immune system to build antibodies and kill the spike proteins introduced by the vaccines.

The theory is that the spike proteins introduced by the vaccines degrade over several weeks but your immune system has created antibodies in fighting the foreign spike protein  that remain to fight off any future infection if you are exposed to the Covid-19 virus in the future.

That is the way things are supposed to work with the spike proteins and the vaccines.

However, right now we seem to be seeing spikes everywhere you look that indicates something is not working as designed.

As I have written previously, all of the current Covid vaccines in use in the United States today were granted emergency use authorization based on the assertion that they PREVENTED Covid-19 disease.

As an example, here is the emergency use authorization review memorandum for the Moderna vaccine.


Source: https://www.fda.gov/media/144673/download

Note that the intended use was not to prevent severe disease. It was not intended to prevent hospitalizations. It was not intended to prevent deaths.

It was intended to prevent disease.

Isn't this what we have always expected a vaccine to do?

How successful have these vaccines been looking at that intended use?

Confirmed cases in the United States are up 1,000% in the last two months.

They are almost 3x higher than they were a year ago when no one was vaccinated.

This is despite the fact that 168 million Americans have been fully vaccinated (over half of the population of the United States).

We see similar patterns in other countries that have also had large mass vaccination efforts.

The UK and Israel have both vaccinated larger portions of their population than the United States.

Cases spiked in both countries despite the mass vaccination effort.

Vermont has the highest vaccination rate among the 50 states. 

85% of the state's age 12+ population has received at least one dose.

Source: https://www.healthvermont.gov/covid-19/vaccine/covid-19-vaccine-dashboard

What about cases in Vermont?

There were 561 new cases in Vermont in the week August 5-12, 2021.

Last year that number was 38 for the same week. That is a 1,376% increase.

Last year at this time one person was in the hospital with Covid in Vermont. This year for the same week 25 people are in the hospital. That is a 2,400% increase!

No one was vaccinated last year and there was one person in the hospital. There are now 25?

Think about that for a second.

Is the Delta variant that much more virulent?

Or has Covid gotten more virulent because of the vaccines and made it much more dangerous to both the vaccinated and unvaccinated? 

Is it something else we don't understand?

How can anyone look at this data and not question what is going on?

Something is amiss.

The narrative is that the people in the hospital are all unvaccinated. However, that falls short when you see the numbers from Vermont where almost everyone is vaccinated. Or Israel.

You see the same pattern in Oregon which is another of the most vaccinated states. 

70% of the age 18+ population has had at least one dose of the vaccine. 96% of the age 65+ population has had at least one dose.

This is the trend in cases in Oregon since the pandemic began.

There are more confirmed cases today than there have ever have been in Oregon. By a large margin.

This is a chart showing the percentage of hospital emergency department visits in Oregon in which Covid is the diagnosis comparing 2020 and 2021.

Assume someone was dropped from Mars and was asked the point on this chart in which vaccines were introduced to prevent Covid?

The Martian would have to think it was a trick question. In looking at the data the conclusion has to be that no effective vaccine has been introduced.

There have been 156 Covid deaths reported in Oregon in the last seven weeks.

Data in the shaded area is preliminary.

Source: https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/oregon.health.authority.covid.19/viz/OregonCOVID-19CaseDemographicsandDiseaseSeverityStatewide/DemographicData

78% of those deaths have been those age 60+. Just 3% have been in those age 29 or younger.

Considering the relative vaccination rates for these ages it just does not follow that all of the deaths right now are from the unvaccinated. It defies all logic, reason and mathematics.

Unfortunately, Oregon, like almost every other state, does not provide data breaking out cases, hospitalizations and deaths by vaccination status even though they provide demographic data on almost everything else. Therefore, I have to apply common sense rather than hard data to challenge the narrative.

It does not take much to conclude that there are a number of vaccinated people in Oregon in those death numbers.

The good news is that the death toll is still less than last year despite the rise of cases.

Is it the vaccine? I hope so. Is it better treatments? Is it because the current variant is not as lethal as is being portrayed. I don't know.

We see another spike of cases in Australia which seems to be locking down their population every other week.

New daily confirmed Covid cases in Australia
Source: https://twitter.com/Birdyword/status/1427217759147073538/photo/1

Is it a coincidence that the spike has come just as Australia has ramped up its mass vaccination program?

I don't know but I do know more questions should be asked about why this is occurring.

The narrative we hear is that the case increases we are seeing is being driven by those who are unvaccinated.

However, this chart suggests that cases are actually spiking higher in the top 10 most vaccinated states compared to the 10 least vaccinated states comparing 2021 vs. 2020.

% YOY  Changes in Daily Cases: 2020 vs. 2021
Testing-adjusted to highest testing level per state
7-day moving average for both testing and positive case
Source: https://twitter.com/Emily_Burns_V/status/1427409631748493315/photo/1

% YOY  Changes in Daily Cases: 2020 vs. 2021
Testing-adjusted to highest testing level per state
7-day moving average for both testing and positive case
Source: https://twitter.com/Emily_Burns_V/status/1427409631748493315/photo/1

This can be explained partly by the fact that the current surge is centered in many states in the Sunbelt who had the same seasonal surge last year. As a result, they had a higher base of cases in 2020 in which to compare to 2021 in percentage terms.

However, at the same time, why are a lot of these northern states seeing such high spikes in cases in the middle of the summer when they saw little last year?

What is it going to look like in these states when their seasonal vulnerability is at its highest in the Fall/Winter?

For example, this chart shows how the Sunbelt states (Region 4-AL,FL, GA, KY, MS, NC, SC, TN) compares to the Midwest states (Region 5-IL, IN, OH, MI, MN, WI) on new daily cases over the last 500 days.

Can we expect even further spikes in Covid cases in states above the 37th parallel in the next few months?

There are more spikes at other places around the world right now in countries which we were told had avoided a surge in cases because everyone wore masks.

Look at Japan. 97% mask adherence.

Thailand. 93% mask compliance.

1,000,000% increase in cases compared to this time last year.

Japan and Thailand lagged in mass vaccinations compared to the United States, Israel and the UK.

Both countries did not really starting vaccinating large portions of their population until June.

Is it a coincidence that cases have surged in both countries within a month of the mass vaccination program?

Spikes everywhere you look even though vaccinations are also up everywhere you look.

However, we are told the answer is to vaccinate more people and give booster shots to everyone who has already been vaccinated.

This is the case even though we have no answer as to why all of these spikes in cases are occurring around the world as vaccinations have increased.

This makes no sense whatsoever from a scientific perspective.

Between last year and this year what is the one intervention that was introduced that we did not have last year?


The hypothesis from the experts was that this would be our way out of the pandemic. It would prevent disease and stop transmission. 

Considering that there are spikes everywhere you look, wouldn't the scientific method suggest that you should test your hypothesis that vaccines are the answer by looking at the data and investigating why we are seeing these spikes?

Source: https://www.extension.purdue.edu/extmedia/ID/ID-507-w.pdf

That would be science.

Sadly science is no longer science. It has become politics disguised as science.

Or public health experts that are so invested in the narrative and their reputations that they care more about both of these before the science and your health.

No comments:

Post a Comment