Last week I wrote that Donald J. Trump was sitting abreast "The Hinge of History" as we are waiting to see what will happen in Iran over the next several months.
Whether he likes it or not, the final verdict on Trump's legacy will be defined by Iran.
It is important to remember that history is only written by the winners.
If Trump is successful in neutering Iran, its terrorist meddling in the Middle East, providing more freedom to the Iranian people and denying them a nuclear weapon, he will be the winner and history will treat him exceedingly well.
If the Iranian regime survives relatively intact, the Middle East continues to be a hot mess, the Iranian people continue to suffer and the nuclear threat is not definitively quashed, Trump will be end up being compared to Jimmy Carter rather than Abraham Lincoln or FDR.
We now have a supposed "deal" with Iran that is referred to as a "Memorandum of Understanding".
However, from what we know right now, the "understanding" seems to be in the eye of the beholder.
The Trump administration has an understanding of the deal that seems quite different than the understanding of those in the Iranian regime.
It is difficult at this point to understand what the understanding really is when viewed objectively.
We will really not know if this is good or bad for the United States (and Trump) until the "understanding" turns into a real agreement that includes the final resolution of the nuclear issue.
However, as I stated in that last post, if I were Trump I would not trust my legacy to any "deal" with Iran.
I am going to wait to see how this evolves before making any other judgments.
There is too much I don't know that Trump does know.
I do know that Trump knows that his legacy is on the line with Iran.
I do know that Trump does not ever want to look bad or lose.
I do know that Trump is indefatigable and tireless and will not rest until he wins at anything he does.
In that regard, I refer you to the post below that was published on X by someone who goes by the name Cynical Publius that aligns closely with my views..
The views of Cynical Publius on Iran right now can be summarized this way.
Trump has earned our trust.
Trust the plan that he is pursuing.
He knows more about what he is doing than I do.
However, right now I have to rely more on blind trust than clear understanding of where this leads.
I cannot find much fault in the thoughts below.
I have largely been quiet on this matter lately, mostly because I don’t think anyone in the general public has the first clue as to what is actually going on in terms of negotiations (me included), but let me please offer some thoughts on things I am certain are true at the time I write this:
1. The Iranian mullahs are/were implacable enemies of Western Civilization, and have a goal of global jihad by any means necessary.
2. Neither the Iranian nor American media can be trusted to report accurately on the purported agreement.
3. “MOU” means “memorandum of understanding.” In corporate law, another term for this is a “term sheet.” Basically it is an outline of basic terms and serves as a basis for negotiations between the parties towards a more fulsome, definitive agreement. Nothing at the MOU stage is definitive.
4. The Trump Administration could do a better job of keeping the American public informed on this matter.
5. Iran’s military and nuclear capabilities have been decimated.
6. Iran’s ability to export terrorism has been greatly impaired.
7. Multiple layers of the mullahs' leadership are now dead, and those currently in power are acutely and uncomfortably aware of this fact.
8. The only viable means of ultimate regime change in Iran is the Persian people rising up and overthrowing the mullahs.
9. An Iran with nuclear arms would be the worst threat to human civilization since the medieval era Bubonic Plague epidemic. The JCPOA was enabling them to build such weapons.
10. President Trump had no choice but to take the military actions he has taken thus far, because of the nuclear and terror threats.
11. America and Israel assumed that the Persian people would take this opportunity to violently overthrow their theocratic dictators.
12. Because the Persian people are thus far collectively unwilling to walk through the door of regime change that has been made possible (admittedly with great cost to them), President Trump is now faced with a dilemma: either commit ground forces to Iran (with half of the USA wildly opposing such action) or negotiate with whomever is actually in power at the moment (with the other half of the USA wildly opposing such action).
13. President Trump has earned our trust—in all matters (not just Iran) he has consistently prioritized American interests properly more so than any other President since Ronald Reagan. There is no one I trust more to navigate such a complex, potentially “no win” situation than President Trump.
14. America and the world are currently in a far, far better and safer situation today than if no military action had been taken.
15. All military options remain open to the USA. Virtually no military options (other than internal repression) remain open to the Iranian leadership.
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I have always despised all that "Q" nonsense, but at the moment I believe the following words are actually the best course of action for Americans with respect to the Iran conflict: “Trust the plan.”
In the coming days consider the differences of opinion you might see in the comments of Republicans and Trump loyalists who might raise questions and doubts about where the Iran policy is going.
Then contrast that with the total silence about anything from the Democrats yhat was ever said on anything Joe Biden did.
There was no pushback or questions about his failed immigration policy, the vaccine mandates, men in women's bathrooms or his obvious physical and mental lapses.
Everyone was 100% in lockstep until they weren't.
What does that say in itself?
There should be the freedom and strength of character for anyone to question the merits of what is going on.
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| Credit: Getty Images Source: https://beelineblogger.blogspot.com/2019/06/the-indefatigable-donald-trump.html |
"There is too much I don't know that Trump does know." What a revelation for the readers.
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