Wednesday, June 8, 2022

Survey Says

Host Richard Dawson made the following phrase famous on the TV game show "Family Feud".

"Survey Says".




Dawson would utter those words before seeing how well the family contestants on the tv show were able to guess the survey responses to various questions.

Could the family contestants correctly gauge the attitudes of a wider population group beyond their family circle and individual experiences?

I always enjoy looking at survey and poll data.

Looking at the data does not tell me if the people in the survey know the right answers.

Their conclusions could be absolutely wrong.

However, it does reveal what is going on in their heads.

Over the last week or so I have come across several interesting surveys.

You can take what you will from the surveys but I would suggest that in a broad sense this indicates to me that there is deep concern across the body politic in the nation right now.

For example, a recent Rasmussen survey found that 55% of American adults believe it is likely that the United States will enter a 1930's-like depression in the next several years.

This is the breakdown of the survey by demographic group. Notice that 44% of Democrats share that view, women are more concerned than men and Hispanics are more concerned than Whites.





That same survey asked people whether today's children would be better off than their parents.

An astounding 56% answered NO. Only 20% said YES.



These answers in itself are major warning signs to me on where the economy is headed in the near term.

Economic growth is dependent in large part on the optimism of people about the future. People have to be optimistic in order to invest, take risks in opening new businesses and the like.

Lack of confidence and fear of the future are the worst things you can have from the public if you want to promote economic growth.

In the RealClearPolitics.com poll average, 71% say the country is on the wrong track. That is up over 20 points in the last year.




The negative outlook of people in these surveys could effectively become a self-fulfilling prophecy.

That is a major reason why Franklin Delano Roosevelt said this in his first inaugural address in 1933.



All of this pessimism does not bode well for Joe Biden or the Democrats right now.

Biden's approval rating hovers around 40%.

How bad is that?

Biden is running about 10 points below where Trump was at the same time in his administration and Trump was battling the false Russian collusion narrative and an adversarial media every day.

Note that Trump's approval was increasing in his second year while Biden's has been declining.


Source: https://twitter.com/mirandadevine/status/1533956072288952320/photo/1


To make matters worst for Biden, 49% of voters strongly disapprove of his performance. Only 20% strongly approve. That translates to a -29% net score.


Source: https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/biden_administration/prez_track_jun07


By contrast, I thought it was interesting that Donald Trump averaged a 33% strongly approve score during his entire term. That was even higher than Obama's average. This would seem to show there is at least one-third of the country that are committed conservatives and not more than 20%who are full-fledged liberals.




Rasmussen's most recent generic Congressional Ballot poll has Republicans favored by 48%-40%. 

This poll would normally be expected to provide a couple points advantage to Democrats due to their registration advantage nationally. 

What are voters most concerned about leading up to the midterm elections according to Rasmussen?


Source: https://twitter.com/Rasmussen_Poll/status/1534248911401107456/photo/1


I would not expect many of you to be surprised by this list.

These are all things I hear often when I talk to people I know.

However, you might notice that these are not issues you hear as much about on the evening news.

They are also issues that Democrats seem reluctant to talk about.

Below is a list of issues you are more likely to hear legacy media and Democrats talking about right now

Rasmussen also surveyed voters to gauge their concerns about these issues.



Do you notice anything between the two lists?

There is not one issue on the list that legacy media and the Democrats want to talk about that rises to the level of concern that voters have on the first list.

You might say there is a major DISCONNECT between what voters say they are most concerned about and what the legacy media and Democrats want them to be concerned about.

Of course, what a survey says and how people will actually vote can be two different things.

We will see how all of this sorts out in November.

However, it has all the makings of a FAMILY FEUD

The surveys say right now that most of the major concerns of the American people are not being taken seriously enough by the media and political elites.

I do know one thing.

When the American people vote their concerns, they win. 

In our system, they have all the power. The problem is that most people don't believe it.

Perhaps the time is coming for the people to send a message to the politicians and media elites so that EVERYONE believes it.

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