Monday, March 24, 2025

Outside the Mainstream

In this blog over the last few years I have observed several times about the curious fact that there is such a heavy representation of young, single, college-educated white women in the Black Lives Matter, Antifa and other far left movements.

It defies logic.

How is defunding the police or emptying prisons going to make single women feel more secure?

How is allowing a biological male to use a women's restroom going to make her feel safer?

How does allowing biological males to compete with females in athletics advance the opportunities for women?

Is there any group today that feels more lonely, is more misunderstood and wants to belong than young, single, college-educated white women? 

Many have no man in their life. There are no children or likely prospects that marriage or children will occur soon due to the imbalance between male and female college graduates. They live in rental apartments in large cities leading hectic, anonymous lives with little sense of community and huge sums of student loan debt.

The picture below is one that I referenced in these pages in 2021 when I was discussing this issue.

How many young, white women do you see in this picture supporting BLM's calls to defund the police?

How many Blacks do you see in the picture?



How do you make sense of it?

You can't. It is not logical.

I thought of my earlier observations on this subject when I saw this recent poll on the opinions of white voters on Trump and other political figures and issues broken down by gender and education.


Source: NBC News Poll March 19, 2025

It used to be said that men are from Mars and women are from Venus.

This polling would indicate that college-educated white women are living in completely different universe than other white men and women in the United States.

What explains this?

It seems to be a combination of both education and gender.

On Trump's approval, there is a 52 point difference between women with no degree compared to those with a degree.

There is 37 point difference between women with a degree compared to men with a degree.

Those are astounding numbers.

I could not find cross tabs breaking down the women's numbers between those who are married and those who are not married,

However, the white college-educated numbers are undoubtedly driven by single females who largely live in urban areas.

For example, in the 2024 general election, married women supported Trump 52%-47%.

White women college graduate supported Harris 58%-41%.

Unmarried women voted for Harris 61%-38%.

In previous blog posts I hypothesized that young, single women in the United States have become more liberal politically than their male counterparts due to two factors.

1) an innate need for security that pushes them to support large government safety net programs.

2) a need to belong that is provided by the large number of "causes" that make up the progressive agenda.

It can be argued that both of these are the result of the fact that there are now more young, unmarried women than we have ever had in history.

In fact, the most recent Census Bureau data indicates that 29% of all mid-life adults today(age 30-49) have never been married.

That is almost twice what it was in the year 2000 and over four times what it was in 1970.

Source: https://www.bgsu.edu/ncfmr/resources/data/family-profiles/marino-geographic-variation-percentage-mid-life-never-marrried-adults-2021-fp-23-13.html


The numbers are even higher for those under age 35.

And higher still for college educated, young women who vastly outnumber college educated, young men making it even more challenging to find a marriage partner.

Look again at the net approval numbers among white college-educated women above.

Donald Trump           -38

J.D. Vance                 -38

Elon Musk                 -40

Volodmyr Zelensky   +53

DEI                            +30  

How does one explain this?

I recently saw this answer to that question that is more sophisticated than what I have proposed in the past.



His thesis suggest that gender-based biological traits that are immutable that are "hijacked" by the education system and turned into leftist political ideology in the absence of a husband, children and family.

It is an interesting explanation.

What should most concern the Democrat party is that despite the negative opinions these women have of Donald Trump and the Republican Party they also have a net overall negative opinion of the Democrats.

How bad have things become when Ukraine President Zelensky is viewed more favorably by white women at many times the level in which the Democrat Party is viewed?

They don't like Trump but they also apparently don't see the Democrat Party as it exists today as being an effective countervailing political force.

What is most interesting in all of this is we have been told for the last decade that Trump and his supporters do not represent the mainstream of American voters.

Look at the survey data again and tell me who is outside of the mainstream here?





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