The most fundamental reason that we have lockdowns and mask mandates is based on the assumption that Covid-19 is being spread by asymptomatic carriers.
However, is this true?
Are people with no symptoms whatsoever walking around infecting other people?
It is a critically important question as if there is no asymptomatic spread, there is no scientific basis to argue we should have lockdowns or for everyone to be walking around with masks on.
Last January the Chinese stated that it appeared that Covid-19 was being transmitted by asymptomatic carriers during the incubation period before people displayed symptoms. In other words, people who tested positive for the virus but showed no symptoms.
One year later, have we seen any of this anywhere outside of China?
In the fullness of time, it appears contrived and suspicious to say the least.
At the time of China's claim last January, Dr. Michael Osterholm, who is the Director of the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy at the University of Minnesota ( and now an important Biden adviser on Covid), said that asymptomatic spread of the virus would be contrary to anything he had observed in 17 years of research and study of coronaviruses.
Dr. Anthony Fauci said the same thing in January of last year.
"Even if there is some asymptomatic transmission, in all the history of respiratory-borne viruses of any type, asymptomatic transmission has never been the driver of outbreaks," Fauci said. "The driver of outbreaks has always been a symptomatic person."
Later both of these "experts" changed their tune on this subject but the evidence for that reversal is suspect.
In fact, one of the WHO experts on the subject stated in June that asymptomatic spread regarding Covid appeared to be "very rare" at the same time that mask mandates were being touted as the answer to ending the pandemic.
So it came as a surprise when Maria Van Kerkhove, the World Health Organization’s (WHO) technical lead for COVID-19, said at a press briefing on June 8 that asymptomatic transmission appears to be “very rare.” Her statement came just days after the organization directed healthy people living in areas with widespread community transmission to wear fabric face masks in public to help contain the advance of the disease.
Kerkhove later walked back this admission in some respects under a lot of pressure from Fauci and others but her statement clearly showed that asymptomatic spread seems to not be driving much infection or contagion of the virus.
You may recall that it was shortly after Kerkhove made her statement that CDC Director Robert Redfield said that the pandemic could be stopped in 4-6 weeks if everyone wore a mask.
This week, Dr. Redfield is urging Americans to put on a mask while in public to stop the spread of COVID-19. He said, “If all of us would put on a face covering now for the next 4 weeks to 6 weeks, I think that we could drive this epidemic to the ground in the country.”
That statement was made eight months ago. Is that long enough to see if it is working?A big reason for this is that it has been shown in PCR testing that asymptomatic cases have lower loads than those with symptoms. Low viral loads means there is generally little chance of passing the virus along from a carrier.
You undoubtedly have seen the headlines that the Pfizer and Moderna mRNA vaccines are said to be 95% effective.However, do you know what that means?Let's put it in context thanks to an excellent summary of the vaccine trial data by Dr. Zoe Harcomb, PhD that I found interesting.Ideally, you want an antiviral vaccine to do two things.1. Reduce the likelihood you will get severely ill and have to be hospitalized2. Prevent infection and interrupt disease transmissionYou might be surprised that neither of these are the stated objectives in any of the Covid vaccines.They merely were focused on the detection of a positive test and at least one symptom of Covid and the comparison between those who took the vaccine and those who took the placebo.In the Pfizer test there were about 18,000 in each arm of the testing (vaccine and placebo). Very few of those in the trials were over the age of 70 or had severe comorbidities.Among the 18,000 who got the vaccine, 8 later tested positive for Covid and had at least one symptom. Among the placebo group, 162 tested positive at some point. The vaccine efficacy was stated to be 95% because 8/162=.05. This is where the 95% efficacy numbers came from.However, Dr. Harcomb observes there is another way to look at this.The tiny number of people who tested positive is striking. The revised Pfizer numbers could also be reported as 99.9% of people in the vaccine group and 99.1% of people in the placebo group didn’t test positive.Does that have something to do with a natural human immune system?Look at the Pfizer test results again. Over 36,000 people were in the vaccine trials. Only 170 tested positive at some point in both of the groups. 99.5% of the overall test group never tested positive.Based on the data, 154 possible infections were avoided but it took 18,000 vaccines to accomplish that compared to the placebo.